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China Methanol Industry Returned Profitable in November

China Methanol Industry Returned Profitable in November SCI99
2020-12-08
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China Methanol Industry Returned Profitable in November

China’s methanol industry has seen a negative theoretical profit since March 2020 due to continuously slipping methanol prices. In Q4, although the methanol prices rallied gradually, the industrial profit remained negative, as the feedstock coal and natural gas prices also increased to some different extents. However, entering November, the methanol prices rose notably amid improving supply and demand fundamentals, and the industrial profit turned positive again.

The background of methanol profit’s turnaround is the long-term imbalance of the value distribution in the methanol industrial chain. As a raw material product with relatively surplus supply, the methanol industry performed sluggish in 2020, and the methanol producers suffered profit losses. However, most downstream industries gained considerable profits for a long period of time, especially the MTO industry whose profit hit a new high in recent years. As a result, the rigid demand for methanol was stable. At this time, favorable changes in the supply side will trigger bullish sentiments easily.







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