China CMA Predicts Close to Slightly Above Average Temperature in Dec-Next Feb
According to the China’s Meteorological Administration (CMA)’s National Climate Center (NCC), during Dec 2025 to Feb 2026, the temperature in most regions in China will be close to slightly higher than the historical average. The temperature will be higher in southern N-China, most of E-China, most of Central China, western SW-China, western NW-China, Xizang, and southern Xinjiang. Among them, western Sichuan, northwestern Yunnan, Xizang and southern Qinghai may experience temperature 1-2°C higher than average. By comparison, the temperature will be lower in northeastern and western Inner Mongolia, most of NE-China, western and southern S-China, southeastern SW-China and northern Xinjiang, with northeastern Inner Mongolia and northwestern Heilongjiang to see temperatures 1-2°C lower than the average.
Oct China PE Unit Maintenance
In October 2025, the PE output loss caused by unit maintenance was 476.7kt, down 114.7kt from last month. Lianyungang Petrochemical wrapped up its overhaul, while the newly added overhaul was seen at Sinopec Guangzhou Company and Sinopec Zhongyuan Petrochemical. Other newly added maintenance shutdowns were minor and medium ones. Overall, the monthly PE output loss due to maintenance was at a medium-to-high level.
Note: Historical average refers to the average from 1991 to 2020.
CMA access: https://www.ncc-cma.net/climate/pred?h_id=100814
Last winter, from Dec 2024 to Feb 2025, the national average temperature was -2.7°C, which was 0.4°C higher than the historical average. Most regions experienced temperatures close to or higher than the historical average. Most of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau, eastern Inner Mongolia, most of Jilin and northern Liaoning saw temperatures 1-2°C higher, and some exceeded 2°C above average.
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