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台 风 公 报
预报:孙舒悦 签发:高拴柱 2023 年 07 月 15 日 18 时
line-height: 28px;word-break: normal;overflow-wrap: normal;text-align: justify;border-width: initial;border-style: none;border-color: initial;">中央气象台7月15日18时继续发布台风蓝色预警:
今年第4号台风泰利(热带风暴级;英文名称:TALIM;名字来源:菲律宾;名称意义:尖锐和锐利的意思)的中心今天下午5点钟(北京时,下同)位于我国东沙岛南偏东方向约275公里的南海东北部海面上,就是北纬18.3度、东经117.8度,中心附近最大风力有8级(18米/秒),中心最低气压为998百帕,七级风圈半径140-200公里。
预计,台风中心将以每小时10-15公里的速度向西偏北方向移动,强度逐渐增强,并于17日夜间在海南岛东部到广东西部一带沿海登陆(台风级或强台风级,35-42米/秒,12-14级),18日进入北部湾,以后趋向越南北部沿海和广西沿海。
大风预报:7月15日20时至16日20时,南海大部、巴士海峡西部、广东中部东部沿海、西沙、中沙、东沙、南沙及黄岩岛附近海面将有6-7级大风,南海中北部部分海域风力有8-9级,台风中心经过的海域和岛屿附近风力有10-12级,阵风13-14级。
降水预报:7月15日20时至16日20时,广东南部和中东部、海南岛、江西南部、台湾岛等地的部分地区有中到大雨,其中雷州半岛局地有暴雨(50-80毫米)。



海洋天气公报
预报:柳龙生 签发:张玲 2023 年 07 月 15 日 18 时
我国南部海域将受台风“泰利”影响
一、近海海域天气实况
15日02时至14时,南海东北部海域出现了7~8级、阵风9级旋转风,黄海中部海域、东海北部海域、南海中部和南部海域出现了6~7级、阵风8级偏南或西南风。
二、近海海域重点天气预报
1、我国南部海域将受台风“泰利”影响
15日夜间至18日白天,受台风“泰利”影响,南海大部海域、巴士海峡、琼州海峡、北部湾将有7~9级、阵风10~11级的大风,台风中心经过的附近海域风力可达12~14级、阵风15~16级。有关台风“泰利”的详细信息,请参见中央气象台最新一期《台风蓝色预警》。
三、未来三天具体预报



四、未来4~7天天气展望
预计,18日夜间,北部湾将有7~9级、阵风10~11级的大风;18日夜间至22日白天,南海大部海域、东海大部海域将有6~7级、阵风8~9级的西南或偏南风。
海事天气公报
ZCZC
WWCI50 BABJ 150600
2:1:31:11:01:00
BT
SECURITE =
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 1015UTC JUL.15 2023 =
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS =
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600UTC JUL.15 =
FCST VALID 0600UTC JUL.16 =
WARNNING=
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNNING=
TS TALIM 2304(2304) 998HPA AT 18.0N 118.2E
MVG WNW 14KMH AND MAX WINDS 18M/S NEAR CENTER
(SEAS UP TO 3.5M)
AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS
140KM NE
140KM SE
200KM SW
200KM NW
AND FCST FOR 160600UTC AT 19.3N 115.5E 982HPA
AND MAX WINDS 28M/S NEAR CENTER=
SUMMARY=
SE WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP TO
1.5M OVER BASHI CHANNEL=
CYCLONIC WINDS FROM 14 TO 18M/S GUSTS 22M/S SEAS
UP TO 3.0M OVER NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA
SEA=
SW/WLY WINDS FROM 12 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS UP
TO 2.5M OVER CENTRAL PART OF YELLOW SEA AND
NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND EAST CENTRAL
SOUTH CHINA SEA AND SOUTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA
SEA AND JAPAN SEA AND SEA SOUTHWEST OF THE
PHILIPPINES=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER CENTRAL
PART OF YELLOW SEA AND SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA
AND NORTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA AND
ANDAMAN SEA AND MALACCA STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF
SINGAPORE AND SUNDA STRAIT AND LAUT JAWA AND
MAKASSAR STRAIT AND LAUT MALUKU AND LAUT BANDA=
FCST=
NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
S WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
TAIWAN STRAIT
SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
BASHI CHANNEL
S WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S DECR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE
MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
NORTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
W WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S VEER NW
WINDS 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S SEA STATE
SLIGHT TO ROUGH MODERATE RAIN BECMG RAINSTORM VIS
MODERATE TO POOR=
NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S VEER S
WINDS 24 TO 28M/S GUSTS 28 TO 32M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH MODERATE RAIN BECMG OVERCAST VIS MODERATE TO
GOOD=
WEST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
W WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S DECR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY
BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO MODERATE=
EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
W WINDS BACK SW 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S SEA
STATE ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SOUTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S INCR 16 TO
20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY
BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO MODERATE=
SOUTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
NORTHEASTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE LIGHT RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SOUTHWESTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA
SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S DECR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE ROUGH TO
MODERATE LIGHT RAIN BECMG OVERCAST VIS MODERATE TO
GOOD=
KOREA STRAIT
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE LIGHT RAIN BECMG OVERCAST VIS MODERATE TO
GOOD=
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS
SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES
S WINDS VEER SW 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE MODERATE RAIN BECMG HEAVY RAIN VIS
MODERATE=
SEA SOUTHWEST OF THE PHILIPPINES
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA SOUTH OF SUMATERA
SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO
MODERATE=
SEA SOUTH OF VIETNAM
W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO
MODERATE=
GULF OF THAILAND
W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO
MODERATE=
ANDAMAN SEA
W WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S BACK SW
WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
NNNN



