台 风 公 报
预报：张 玲 签发：黄奕武 2024 年 09 月 06 日 10 时
超强台风“摩羯”趋向琼粤
台风“丽琵”对我国近海海域无影响
超强台风“摩羯”趋向琼粤
今年第11号台风“摩羯”（超强台风级）的中心今天（6日）上午9点钟位于海南省文昌市东偏南方大约150公里的南海西北部海面上，就是北纬19.2度、东经112.2度，中心附近最大风力有17级以上（68米/秒），中心最低气压为905百帕，七级风圈半径300-350公里，十级风圈半径120公里，十二级风圈半径60公里。
预计，“摩羯”将以每小时15-20公里的速度向西偏北方向移动，强度变化不大，将于今天下午至傍晚在海南文昌到广东雷州一带沿海登陆（超强台风级，17级或17级以上，60-65米/秒），然后移入北部湾海面，并于7日下午在广西防城港到越南北部一带沿海再次登陆（强台风级，14-15级，42-48米/秒），之后强度逐渐减弱。
大风预报：9月6日14时至7日14时，南海大部、广东中西部沿海、广西南部将有6-8级大风，南海西部的部分海域、北部湾、琼州海峡、广东西部沿海、广西沿海、海南岛及其沿海将有9-12级大风，“摩羯”中心经过的附近海域或地区风力可达13-17级以上。
降水预报：9月6日14时至7日14时，华南中南部有大到暴雨，其中，广西南部、广东西南部、海南岛等地部分地区有大暴雨，广东西南部和海南岛西部等地局地特大暴雨（250～500毫米）。
二、台风“丽琵”对我国无影响
今年第12号台风“丽琵”（热带风暴级）的中心今天（6日）上午8点钟位于日本东京偏东方大约750公里的西北太平洋洋面上，就是北纬35.8度、东经148.0度，8级（18米/秒），1002百帕，七级风圈半径80-120公里。
预计，“丽琵”将以每小时25-30公里的速度向东北方向移动，强度逐渐减弱，未来对我国近海海域无影响。
海洋天气公报
预报：向纯怡 签发：黄 彬 2024 年 09 月 06 日 06 时
我国南部海域将受台风“摩羯”影响
一、近海海域天气实况
5日14时至6日02时，黄海中部海域、台湾海峡、南海南部海域出现了6~7级、阵风8级的风，南海东北部分海域出现了8~12级、阵风13~16级的旋转风。
二、近海海域重点天气预报
1、我国南部海域将受台风“摩羯”影响
预计，受台风“摩羯”影响，5日夜间至8日白天，南海大部海域、北部湾、琼州海峡将有6~8级、阵风9级的大风，其中南海西北部、琼州海峡、北部湾北部部分地区风力可达9~13级、阵风13~14级，台风“摩羯”中心经过的附近海域风力可达13~17级、阵风17级以上。其中，广西南部和东南部沿海、广东西南部和南部沿海、海南岛等地的部分地区将有10级以上雷暴大风，最大风力可达11级以上。
有关台风“摩羯”的详细信息，请参见中央气象台最新一期的《台风红色预警》。
三、未来三天具体预报
海事天气公报
ZCZC
WWCI50 BABJ 060600
2:2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN =
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 1015UTC SEP.06 2024 =
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS =
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600UTC SEP.06 =
FCST VALID 0600UTC SEP.07 =
WARNNING=
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNNING=
SuperTY YAGI 2411(2411) 905HPA AT 19.7N 111.4E
MVG WNW 19KMH AND MAX WINDS 68M/S NEAR CENTER
(SEAS UP TO 12M)
AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS
300KM NE
350KM SE
350KM SW
320KM NW
AND RADIUS OF 50KTS WINDS
120KM NE
120KM SE
120KM SW
120KM NW
AND RADIUS OF 64KTS WINDS
60KM NE
60KM SE
60KM SW
60KM NW
AND FCST FOR 061200UTC AT 20.1N 110.5E 920HPA
AND MAX WINDS 60M/S NEAR CENTER
AND FCST FOR 061800UTC AT 20.5N 109.4E 930HPA
AND MAX WINDS 55M/S NEAR CENTER
AND FCST FOR 070000UTC AT 20.9N 108.5E 935HPA
AND MAX WINDS 52M/S NEAR CENTER
AND FCST FOR 070600UTC AT 21.2N 107.7E 945HPA
AND MAX WINDS 48M/S NEAR CENTER=
SUMMARY=
NE/NLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS UP
TO 2.0M OVER TAIWAN STRAIT AND BEIBU GULF=
SW/SLY WINDS FROM 12 TO 18M/S GUSTS 22M/S SEAS UP
TO 3.0M OVER NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
AND CENTRAL PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA AND SOUTHERN
PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA=
CYCLONIC WINDS FROM 22 TO 26M/S GUSTS 30M/S SEAS
UP TO 5.0M OVER NORTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA
SEA=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER
NORTHWESTERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND TAIWAN
STRAIT AND QIONGZHOU STRAIT AND WEST CENTRAL SOUTH
CHINA SEA AND ANDAMAN SEA AND THAILAND GULF AND
MALACCA STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF SINGAPORE AND SEA
SOUTH OF SUMATERA AND SUNDA STRAIT AND MAKASSAR
STRAIT AND LAUT MALUKU AND LAUT BANDA=
FCST=
TAIWAN STRAIT
SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK NE
WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE OVERCAST BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO
MODERATE=
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN
SE WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S VEER W
WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
BASHI CHANNEL
S WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH HEAVY RAIN VIS MODERATE=
BEIBU GULF
N WINDS 45 TO 50M/S GUSTS 50 TO 55M/S BACK SW
WINDS 45 TO 50M/S GUSTS 50 TO 55M/S SEA STATE VERY
ROUGH TO HIGH RAINSTORM VIS POOR=
QIONGZHOU STRAIT
SE WINDS 50 TO 55M/S GUSTS 55 TO 60M/S DECR 40 TO
45M/S GUSTS 45 TO 50M/S SEA STATE VERY ROUGH TO
ROUGH RAINSTORM VIS POOR=
NORTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
SE WINDS 50 TO 55M/S GUSTS 55 TO 60M/S VEER S
WINDS 50 TO 55M/S GUSTS 55 TO 60M/S SEA STATE HIGH
TO VERY ROUGH RAINSTORM BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS
POOR TO MODERATE=
NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
SE WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S VEER S
WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE VERY
ROUGH TO ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
WEST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS 32 TO 36M/S GUSTS 36 TO 40M/S DECR 24 TO
28M/S GUSTS 28 TO 32M/S SEA STATE VERY ROUGH TO
ROUGH MODERATE RAIN BECMG CLOUDY VIS MODERATE TO
GOOD=
EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS BACK S 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA
STATE VERY ROUGH TO ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS
MODERATE=
SOUTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SOUTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS BACK S 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA
STATE ROUGH CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SEA WEST OF BONIN ISLANDS
SE WINDS BACK E 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE OVERCAST BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD=
SEA WEST OF NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS
S WINDS VEER SW 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA SOUTHEAST OF INDONESIA
E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTH OF JAWA
SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SEA NORTH OF JAWA
SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTH OF SUMATERA
SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S INCR 12 TO
16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE ROUGH MODERATE
RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA SOUTH OF VIETNAM
SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S DECR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE
MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
GULF OF THAILAND
W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
ANDAMAN SEA
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
NNNN
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