今年第13号台风“贝碧嘉”已减弱为热带风暴级。不过，第14号台风、潜在的第15号台风也要来了？
今年第14号台风“普拉桑”趋向我国东海海面
今天（17日）凌晨，台风“贝碧嘉”移入安徽滁州境内，减弱为热带风暴。不过，台风或许还没有结束。
据悉，今年第14号台风“普拉桑”已于9月15日晚在西北太平洋洋面上生成。今天早晨5时，位于琉球群岛那霸市东南方向约1670公里的洋面上，预计，“普拉桑”将以每小时55-60公里的速度向西北方向快速移动，强度变化不大，将趋向我国东海海面。
据中国天气消息，在稳定副热带高压系统引导下，台风“普拉桑”可能和“贝碧嘉”路径相似，或再奔江浙沪，而且由于9月18日-20日还有冷空气参与，“普拉桑”的路径也会非常难预测。
今年第15号台风“苏力”将生成
据台风监测消息，预计，热带低压将缓慢向偏西方向移动，强度逐渐增强，未来或将加强为第15号台风“苏力”。
中国气象频道气象分析师信欣表示，潜在的15号台风“苏力”，目前预报从海南南侧海面掠过的概率更大。但依然不排除临近海南时，路径北翘，登陆海南。而且后期因为和冷空气结合，即便近海掠过，风雨影响不可小觑。
海洋天气公报
来源：中央气象台 发布时间：2024年09月17日20时
我国近海海域将有6~8级大风
一、近海海域天气实况
17日02时至14时，受台风“贝碧嘉”外围环流影响，黄海南部和东海北部的沿岸海域出现了6~8级、阵风9级的大风。东海南部海域、台湾海峡、巴士海峡、南海东北部和南部海域出现了5~7级、阵风8级的风。
二、近海海域重点天气预报
1、我国近海海域将有6~8级大风
预计，17日夜间至20日白天，受台风“普拉桑”和南海热带低压的共同影响，东海大部海域、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、南海大部海域、琼州海峡、北部湾将有6~8级、阵风9级的大风，其中东海部分海域风力可达9~10级、阵风11~12级，南海中西部海域、北部湾偏南海域风力可达9级、阵风10~11级。有关台风“普拉桑”和南海热带低压”的详细信息，请参见中央气象台最新一期《台风公报》。
19日夜间至20日白天，受冷空气影响，渤海、渤海海峡将有6~8级、阵风9~10级的东北风。
三、未来三天具体预报
四、未来4～7天天气展望
预计， 20日夜间至24日白天，受低值系统和冷空气共同影响，渤海、渤海海峡、黄海大部海域、东海大部海域、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、南海大部海域将有6~8级、阵风9~10级的偏北风或旋转风。
全球海事公报
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS =
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000UTC SEP.15 =
FCST VALID 0000UTC SEP.16 =
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNNING=
TY BEBINCA 2413(2413) 970HPA AT 29.6N 127.1E
MVG WNW 22KMH AND MAX WINDS 35M/S NEAR CENTER
AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS
AND RADIUS OF 50KTS WINDS
AND RADIUS OF 64KTS WINDS
AND FCST FOR 160000UTC AT 30.9N 121.5E 970HPA
AND MAX WINDS 35M/S NEAR CENTER=
NW/WLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP
TO 1.5M OVER BOHAI SEA AND SOUTHERN PART OF SOUTH
NE WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP TO
1.5M OVER SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA=
CYCLONIC WINDS FROM 18 TO 22M/S GUSTS 26M/S SEAS
UP TO 4.0M OVER NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA=
SW WINDS FROM 12 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS UP TO
2.5M OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND SEA
SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER TAIWAN
STRAIT AND NORTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
AND QIONGZHOU STRAIT AND BEIBU GULF AND
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THAILAND GULF AND MALACCA STRAIT AND MALACCA
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E WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE SUNNY BECMG OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA
NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S VEER E
WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH OVERCAST BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD TO
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S WINDS BACK E 28 TO 32M/S GUSTS 32 TO 36M/S SEA
STATE VERY ROUGH LIGHT RAIN VIS MODERATE=
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S WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S BACK SE
WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH TO MODERATE LIGHT RAIN BECMG OVERCAST VIS
NE WINDS 02 TO 04M/S GUSTS 04 TO 06M/S VEER E
WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
N WINDS 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S VEER NE
WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
N WINDS 02 TO 04M/S GUSTS 04 TO 06M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
WEST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
W WINDS 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S VEER NW
WINDS 02 TO 04M/S GUSTS 04 TO 06M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN BECMG CLOUDY VIS MODERATE
EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
W WINDS 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S DECR 02 TO
04M/S GUSTS 04 TO 06M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY
SOUTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SOUTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
NORTHEASTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA
N WINDS VEER NE 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE SUNNY BECMG CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SOUTHWESTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA
NE WINDS VEER E 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE LIGHT RAIN BECMG OVERCAST VIS
E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE LIGHT RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK NE
WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH TO MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS
E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE TO ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA WEST OF BONIN ISLANDS
E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES
SW WINDS BACK E 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA
STATE ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA WEST OF NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS
E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES
SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK SW
WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH MODERATE RAIN BECMG HEAVY RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA SOUTHWEST OF THE PHILIPPINES
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SEA NORTHEAST OF INDONESIA
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SE WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 06 TO
08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY
W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE HEAVY RAIN BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS
W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
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