台风预警
预报：刘达 张玲 签发：代刊 2024 年 10 月 31 日 10 时
中央气象台10月31日10时继续发布台风橙色预警：
今年第21号台风“康妮”（超强台风级）的中心今天（31日）上午10点钟位于台湾省台东市东南方向约105公里的台湾岛东南部近海海面上，就是北纬22.1度、东经121.9度，中心附近最大风力有16级（55米/秒），中心最低气压为930百帕，七级风圈半径380-480公里，十级风圈半径180-200公里，十二级风圈半径100公里。
预计，“康妮”将以每小时25-30公里的速度向西北方向移动，即将于31日中午前后在台湾省台东到花莲一带沿海登陆（48-52米/秒，15-16级，强台风级或超强台风级），尔后穿过台湾岛，将于31日夜间进入台湾海峡（强热带风暴级或台风级），以后在闽浙近海逐渐转向东北方向移动，强度逐渐减弱，并将于2日上午在东海北部变性为温带气旋。仍不排除“康妮”在闽浙近海东北行过程中登陆福建和浙江沿海的可能性。
大风预报：10月31日14时至11月1日14时，受冷空气和“康妮”的共同影响，黄海南部、东海大部及钓鱼岛附近海域、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、南海东北部、浙江沿海、福建沿海、台湾岛及沿海将有7-8级大风，阵风9-10级；其中台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面和巴士海峡的部分海域、台湾岛东部沿海、福建中部沿海的风力有9-12级，阵风13-14级，台风中心经过的附近海面和地区风力有13-16级，阵风17级及以上。
降水预报：10月31日14时至11月1日14时，福建东北部、浙江中东部、上海、江苏南部等地有暴雨或大暴雨，其中，福建东北部、浙江东部等地局地有特大暴雨（250-300毫米）；台湾岛有大暴雨，其中台湾岛东部局地有特大暴雨（250-700毫米）。与历史同期相比，上述地区降水具有极端性。
防御指南：
1.政府及相关部门按照职责做好防台风抢险应急工作。
2.相关水域水上作业和过往船舶应当回港避风，加固港口设施，防止船舶走锚、搁浅和碰撞。
3.停止室内外大型集会和高空等户外危险作业。
4.加固或者拆除易被风吹动的搭建物，人员切勿随意外出，应尽可能待在防风安全的地方，确保老人小孩留在家中最安全的地方，危房人员及时转移。当台风中心经过时风力会减小或者静止一段时间，切记强风将会突然吹袭，应当继续留在安全处避风。
5.相关地区应当注意防范强降水可能引发的山洪、地质灾害。
海洋天气公报
预报：柳龙生 签发：王慧 2024 年 10 月 31 日 06 时
我国东南部海域将有10级以上大风
一、近海海域天气实况
10月30日14时至31日02时，东海北部海域出现了6~7级、阵风8级的偏东风，东海南部海域、台湾海峡、南海东北部海域出现了7~8级、阵风9级的偏北风，台湾以东洋面出现了10~11级、阵风12级的偏东风，巴士海峡出现了12~13级、阵风14级的偏西风，南海西北部海域、北部湾、南海中西部海域出现了5~6级、阵风7级的东北风或偏北风。
二、未来三天具体预报
海事天气公报
ZCZC
WWCI50 BABJ 310600
2:2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN =
MESSAGE FOR METAREA XI (CHINA) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 1015UTC OCT.31 2024 =
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS =
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600UTC OCT.31 =
FCST VALID 0600UTC NOV.01 =
WARNNING=
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNNING=
STY KONG-REY 2421(2421) 945HPA AT 23.0N 121.3E
MVG NNW 21KMH AND MAX WINDS 48M/S NEAR CENTER
(SEAS UP TO 12M)
AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS
420KM NE
300KM SE
350KM SW
420KM NW
AND FCST FOR 311200UTC AT 24.0N 120.6E 975HPA
AND MAX WINDS 33M/S NEAR CENTER
AND FCST FOR 311800UTC AT 24.9N 120.0E 980HPA
AND MAX WINDS 30M/S NEAR CENTER
AND FCST FOR 010000UTC AT 26.5N 120.5E 985HPA
AND MAX WINDS 25M/S NEAR CENTER
AND FCST FOR 010600UTC AT 27.9N 121.1E 990HPA
AND MAX WINDS 23M/S NEAR CENTER=
SUMMARY=
ELY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP TO
1.5M OVER NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA=
NE WINDS FROM 14 TO 18M/S GUSTS 22M/S SEAS UP TO
3.5M OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA=
NLY WINDS FROM 22 TO 26M/S GUSTS 30M/S SEAS UP TO
5.0M OVER TAIWAN STRAIT=
SLY WINDS FROM 34 TO 38M/S GUSTS 44M/S SEAS UP TO
8.5M OVER SEA EAST OF TAIWAN=
SW/WLY WINDS FROM 14 TO 18M/S GUSTS 22M/S SEAS UP
TO 3.5M OVER BASHI CHANNEL AND NORTHEASTERN PART
OF SOUTH CHINA SEA=
SE/SLY WINDS FROM 12 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS UP
TO 2.5M OVER SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS AND SEA
NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER BOHAI
SEA AND BOHAI STRAIT AND WESTERN PART OF EAST
CHINA SEA AND SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS AND
ANDAMAN SEA AND LAUT JAWA AND SEA SOUTH OF JAWA=
FCST=
BOHAI SEA
SW WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S VEER NE
WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
SMOOTH TO MODERATE LIGHT RAIN BECMG OVERCAST VIS
GOOD=
CENTRAL PART OF YELLOW SEA
NE WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY
VIS GOOD=
SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA
NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE TO ROUGH RAINSTORM VIS POOR=
NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S VEER SE
WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH MODERATE RAIN BECMG RAINSTORM
VIS MODERATE TO POOR=
SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
E WINDS 24 TO 28M/S GUSTS 28 TO 32M/S VEER S WINDS
24 TO 28M/S GUSTS 28 TO 32M/S SEA STATE HIGH
MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
TAIWAN STRAIT
NE WINDS 32 TO 36M/S GUSTS 36 TO 40M/S BACK SW
WINDS 32 TO 36M/S GUSTS 36 TO 40M/S SEA STATE HIGH
TO ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN
S WINDS 32 TO 36M/S GUSTS 36 TO 40M/S DECR 20 TO
24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S SEA STATE VERY HIGH TO
VERY ROUGH HEAVY RAIN BECMG OVERCAST VIS MODERATE
TO GOOD=
BASHI CHANNEL
SW WINDS 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S DECR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE HIGH TO ROUGH
OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
BEIBU GULF
N WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE SLIGHT TO
MODERATE SUNNY VIS GOOD=
NORTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
N WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH TO MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S DECR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE VERY ROUGH TO
ROUGH OVERCAST BECMG CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
WEST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
NW WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH TO MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
S WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH CLOUDY BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO
MODERATE=
SOUTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
NW WINDS VEER N 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SOUTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 06 TO
08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE
MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
KOREA STRAIT
E WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S BACK NE
WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG HEAVY RAIN VIS GOOD TO
MODERATE=
SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN
E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD=
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS
S WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S DECR 12 TO
16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE VERY ROUGH
OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA WEST OF BONIN ISLANDS
E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES
S WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S DECR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE VERY ROUGH TO
ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA WEST OF NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS
E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE TO ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES
E WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SEA WEST OF GUAM
E WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SEA NORTHEAST OF INDONESIA
NE WINDS BACK NW 02 TO 04M/S GUSTS 04 TO 06M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTH OF JAWA
SE WINDS BACK E 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD
TO MODERATE=
SEA SOUTH OF SUMATERA
SE WINDS 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S INCR 06 TO
08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY
VIS GOOD=
NNNN
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