

台 风 公 报
预报:渠鸿宇 签发:高拴柱 2024 年 10 月 30 日 10 时
“康妮”将登陆台湾岛
中央气象台10月30日10时发布台风黄色预警:
今年第21号台风“康妮”(超强台风级)的中心今天(30日)上午8点钟位于台湾省台东市东南方向约560公里的西北太平洋洋面上,就是北纬19.1度、东经124.8度,中心附近最大风力有17级(58米/秒),中心最低气压为925百帕,七级风圈半径380-480公里,十级风圈半径180-200公里,十二级风圈半径110公里。
预计,“康妮”将以每小时15-20公里的速度向西北方向移动,强度还将有所增强,将于31日中午前后在台湾岛东部沿海登陆(48-55米/秒,15-16级,强台风级或超强台风级),尔后穿过台湾岛,于31日夜间进入台湾海峡,以后沿浙闽沿海转向东北方向移动,强度逐渐减弱。也不排除“康妮”在向东北方向移动过程中登陆福建和浙江沿海的可能性。
大风预报:30日14时至31日14时,受冷空气和“康妮”的共同影响,东海大部及钓鱼岛附近海域、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、南海北部及东沙群岛附近海域、北部湾、浙江沿海、福建沿海、台湾岛沿海、海南岛沿海有7-9级大风,阵风10-11级;其中台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面和巴士海峡的部分海域、台湾岛东部沿海、福建中部沿海的风力有10-12级,阵风13-14级,台风中心经过的附近海面风力有13-16级,阵风17级及以上。
降水预报:30日14时至31日14时,台湾岛有暴雨或大暴雨,其中台湾岛东部的部分地区有特大暴雨(250-800毫米)。



海洋天气公报
预报:柳龙生 签发:王慧 2024 年 10 月 30 日 18 时
我国东南部海域将有10级以上大风
一、近海海域天气实况
10月30日02时至14时,东海大部海域、南海西北部海域、北部湾出现了6~7级、阵风8级的东北风或偏北风,台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、南海东北部海域出现了7~9级、阵风10级的东北风或偏北风,南海中西部和南部海域出现了5~6级、阵风7级的偏西风。
二、未来三天具体预报

30日20时至31日20时,台湾以东洋面将有14~15级、阵风16~17级的东南风,巴士海峡将有13~14级、阵风15~16级减弱到11~12级、阵风13~14级的偏南到西南风,台湾海峡将有10~11级、阵风12~13级增大到12~13级、阵风14~15级的偏北风,东海南部海域将有7~9级、阵风10级的东北风到偏东风,南海东北部海域将有7~8级、阵风9级的偏北转偏西风,东海北部海域将有6~7级、阵风8级的偏东风,黄海南部海域将有5~6级、阵风7级的偏东到东北风,南海西北部海域将有4~6级、阵风7级的东北风转西北风,南海中东部和东南部海域将有4~6级、阵风7级的偏西到西南风,北部湾、南海中西部海域将有4~6级、阵风7级的偏北到东北风。

10月31日20时至11月1日20时,台湾海峡将有10~11级、阵风12~13级减弱到7~8级、阵风9级的偏北转西南风,东海南部海域将有8~10级、阵风11级的偏东转偏南风,台湾以东洋面将有9~10级、阵风11级减弱到7~8级、阵风9级的偏南风,黄海南部海域将有6~8级、阵风9级的东北风,巴士海峡将有7~8级、阵风9级减弱到5~6级、阵风7级的西南风,东海北部海域将有6~7级、阵风8级的偏东到东北风,南海东北部海域将有5~7级、阵风8级的偏西到西南风,北部湾、南海中西部海域将有4~6级、阵风7级的偏北到西北风,渤海、黄海中部海域将有4~6级、阵风7级的偏北到东北风。

1日20时至2日20时,东海北部海域将有7~8级、阵风9级的东北风到偏北风,黄海南部海域将有5~7级、阵风8级的东北风到偏北风,东海南部海域将有6~7级、阵风8级的偏南转西北风,台湾以东洋面将有5~7级、阵风8级的偏南转东北风,渤海将有5~6级、阵风7级减弱到4级以下的东北风到偏北风,台湾海峡将有4~6级、阵风7级的偏西转东北风,黄海北部和中部海域、北部湾、南海西部海域将有4~6级、阵风7级的偏北到东北风。
三、未来4~7天天气展望
预计,11月2日夜间至6日白天,渤海、渤海海峡、黄海大部海域、东海大部海域、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、北部湾、琼州海峡、南海北部和中部海域将有6~8级、阵风9级的风。
海事天气公报
ZCZC
WWCI50 BABJ 300600
2:2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN =
MESSAGE FOR METAREA XI (CHINA) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 1015UTC OCT.30 2024 =
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS =
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600UTC OCT.30 =
FCST VALID 0600UTC OCT.31 =
WARNNING=
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNNING=
SuperTY KONG-REY 2421(2421) 920HPA AT 19.8N 124.3E
MVG NW 18KMH AND MAX WINDS 60M/S NEAR CENTER
(SEAS UP TO 12M)
AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS
380KM NE
380KM SE
480KM SW
480KM NW
AND RADIUS OF 50KTS WINDS
180KM NE
180KM SE
200KM SW
200KM NW
AND RADIUS OF 64KTS WINDS
110KM NE
110KM SE
110KM SW
110KM NW
AND FCST FOR 301800UTC AT 21.1N 122.9E 910HPA
AND MAX WINDS 65M/S NEAR CENTER
AND FCST FOR 310600UTC AT 23.2N 121.2E 940HPA
AND MAX WINDS 50M/S NEAR CENTER=
SUMMARY=
NE/NLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS UP
TO 2.0M OVER EAST CHINA SEA AND NORTHWESTERN PART
OF SOUTH CHINA SEA AND BEIBU GULF AND SEA SOUTH OF
JAPAN=
NE/NLY WINDS FROM 14 TO 22M/S GUSTS 26M/S SEAS UP
TO 3.5M OVER TAIWAN STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN
AND BASHI CHANNEL AND NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH
CHINA SEA=
WLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP TO
1.5M OVER WEST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA AND
SOUTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA=
SE WINDS FROM 12 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS UP TO
2.5M OVER SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS=
CYCLONIC WINDS FROM 38 TO 44M/S GUSTS 48M/S SEAS
UP TO 0.0M OVER SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER BOHAI
STRAIT AND YELLOW SEA AND SOUTHWESTERN PART OF
EAST CHINA SEA AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN AND BASHI
CHANNEL AND BEIBU GULF AND SEA EAST OF RYUKYU
ISLANDS AND ANDAMAN SEA AND THAILAND GULF AND SEA
EAST OF SINGAPORE=
FCST=
SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA
NE WINDS VEER E 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
NE WINDS VEER E 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA
STATE ROUGH LIGHT RAIN BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS
GOOD TO MODERATE=
SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE
VERY ROUGH LIGHT RAIN BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD
TO MODERATE=
TAIWAN STRAIT
N WINDS 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S INCR 28 TO
32M/S GUSTS 32 TO 36M/S SEA STATE VERY ROUGH TO
HIGH OVERCAST BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO
MODERATE=
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN
NE WINDS 32 TO 36M/S GUSTS 36 TO 40M/S VEER S
WINDS 32 TO 36M/S GUSTS 36 TO 40M/S SEA STATE VERY
HIGH RAINSTORM VIS POOR=
BASHI CHANNEL
N WINDS 40 TO 45M/S GUSTS 45 TO 50M/S BACK S WINDS
40 TO 45M/S GUSTS 45 TO 50M/S SEA STATE VERY HIGH
RAINSTORM VIS POOR=
BEIBU GULF
N WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S DECR 06 TO
08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE
OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
QIONGZHOU STRAIT
NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK NW
WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE LIGHT RAIN BECMG CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
NORTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S BACK N
WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH OVERCAST BECMG CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
N WINDS BACK NW 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA
STATE VERY ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
WEST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S DECR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE ROUGH CLOUDY VIS
GOOD=
EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
NW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK W
WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SOUTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK SW
WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SOUTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
W WINDS BACK SW 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
KOREA STRAIT
NE WINDS VEER E 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN
N WINDS VEER E 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA
STATE ROUGH LIGHT RAIN BECMG OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS
E WINDS VEER SE 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S SEA
STATE HIGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA WEST OF BONIN ISLANDS
SE WINDS BACK E 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA
STATE ROUGH MODERATE RAIN BECMG OVERCAST VIS
MODERATE TO GOOD=
SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES
S WINDS 36 TO 40M/S GUSTS 40 TO 45M/S DECR 24 TO
28M/S GUSTS 28 TO 32M/S SEA STATE HIGH OVERCAST
VIS GOOD=
SEA WEST OF NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS
E WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK S
WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SEA WEST OF GUAM
NE WINDS 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S VEER E
WINDS 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SEA NORTHEAST OF INDONESIA
E WINDS 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S DECR 02 TO
04M/S GUSTS 04 TO 06M/S SEA STATE MODERATE
MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA SOUTH OF JAWA
E WINDS VEER SE 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD
TO MODERATE=
SEA SOUTH OF SUMATERA
SE WINDS 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S INCR 06 TO
08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY
VIS GOOD=
NNNN
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