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“凤凰”或将突破成17级超强台风

“凤凰”或将突破成17级超强台风 信德海事安全
2025-11-08
1


台 风 公 报

预报:曹 迈  签发:柳龙生  2025 年 11 月 08 日 10 时 


“凤凰”将快速增强

今年第26号台风“凤凰”台风级的中心今天(8日)上午8点钟位于菲律宾马尼拉偏东方向大约1240公里的西北太平洋洋面上,就是北纬12.8度、东经132.3度,中心附近最大风力有13级(40/秒),中心最低气压为960百帕,七级风圈半径380-460公里,十级风圈半径180-200公里,十二级风圈半径80公里。

预计,“凤凰”将以每小时30-35公里的速度向偏西方向快速移动,强度快速增强,最强可达超强台风级(55-65/秒,16-17级以上),逐渐向菲律宾吕宋岛东部沿海靠近,穿过吕宋岛后强度减弱,将于10日中午到夜间移入南海,之后逐渐转向偏北方向移动。


目前,台风"凤凰"持续加强,十级风圈已触及我国48小时警戒线。其北侧云系与西风带冷锋云系相接,西侧及南侧呈现大量辐散状卷云,表明高空流出通道通畅,叠加当前高海温的有利条件,强度仍有提升空间。未来需关注垂直风切变增大的可能,这将限制其巅峰强度,能否突破17级尚待观察。

海洋天气公报

预报:黄奕武  签发:黄 彬  2025 年 11 月 08 日 06 时 


我国近海将有8级以上大风

一、近海海域天气实况

11月7日14时至8日02时,台湾海峡出现了5~6级、阵风7级的偏北风,巴士海峡、南海东北部海域、北部湾出现了5~6级、阵风7级的东北风或偏东风。

二、未来三天具体预报

8日08时至9日08时,巴士海峡、南海东北部和中东部海域将有6~8级、阵风9级的偏北到东北风,台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面将有5~7级、阵风8级的偏北到东北风,东海北部海域将有5~6级、阵风7级的东南风到偏南风,东海南部海域将有4~6级、阵风7级的偏东到东北风,南海东南部海域将有4~6级、阵风7级的偏北风。

9日08时至10日08时,南海中东部海域将有9~10级、阵风11级增大到11~12级、阵风13级的偏北风,巴士海峡、南海东北部海域将有8~10级、阵风11级的偏东到东北风,台湾海峡将有7~9级、阵风10级的东北风,东海南部海域、台湾以东洋面将有6~8级、阵风9级的东北风,南海东南部海域将有6~7级、阵风8级的西北风到偏西风,东海北部海域、南海西北部和中西部海域将有5~7级、阵风8级的偏北到东北风,渤海、渤海海峡、黄海大部海域将有5~6级、阵风7级的偏西到西北风。

10日08时至11日08时,南海东北部海域将有10~12级、阵风13级的东北风转偏西风,南海中东部海域将有10~12级、阵风13级的偏北转偏西风,台湾海峡将有9~10级、阵风11级的东北风,巴士海峡将有8~10级、阵风11级的偏东转偏南风,东海南部海域、台湾以东洋面将有6~8级、阵风9级的东北风,南海东南部海域将有5~7级、阵风8级的偏西风,南海西北部和中西部海域将有6~7级、阵风8级的偏北到西北风,东海北部海域将有5~7级、阵风8级的偏北到东北风,渤海将有5~6级、阵风7级的偏西风,黄海中部海域将有5~6级、阵风7级减弱到4级以下的偏北风,黄海南部海域、北部湾将有4~6级、阵风7级的偏北风。







海事天气公报

ZCZC

WWCI50 BABJ 080000

2:2:31:11:11:00

BT

PAN PAN =

MESSAGE FOR METAREA XI (CHINA) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING

AT 0330UTC NOV.08 2025 =

MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS =

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000UTC NOV.08 =

FCST VALID 0000UTC NOV.09 =

WARNNING=

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNNING=

TY FUNG-WONG 2526(2526) 960HPA AT 12.8N 132.3E

MVG W 33KMH AND MAX WINDS 40M/S NEAR CENTER

(SEAS UP TO 10M)

AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS

420KM NE

380KM SE

380KM SW

460KM NW

AND RADIUS OF 50KTS WINDS

200KM NE

180KM SE

180KM SW

200KM NW

AND RADIUS OF 64KTS WINDS

80KM NE

80KM SE

80KM SW

80KM NW

AND FCST FOR 081200UTC AT 13.3N 128.7E 945HPA

AND MAX WINDS 48M/S NEAR CENTER

AND FCST FOR 090000UTC AT 14.5N 125.5E 925HPA

AND MAX WINDS 58M/S NEAR CENTER=

SUMMARY=

NE/ELY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP

TO 1.5M OVER BASHI CHANNEL AND NORTHEASTERN PART

OF SOUTH CHINA SEA AND EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA

SEA=

NE/ELY WINDS FROM 14 TO 18M/S GUSTS 22M/S SEAS UP

TO 3.5M OVER SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES AND

SEA WEST OF NORTH MARIANA ISLANDS=

NLY WINDS FROM 18 TO 22M/S GUSTS 26M/S SEAS UP TO

4.0M OVER SEA SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES=

SE WINDS FROM 18 TO 22M/S GUSTS 26M/S SEAS UP TO

4.0M OVER SEA WEST OF GUAM=

HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER BOHAI

STRAIT AND CENTRAL PART OF YELLOW SEA AND

NORTHWESTERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND BEIBU GULF

AND NORTHEASTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA AND ANDAMAN SEA

AND THAILAND GULF AND MALACCA STRAIT AND SEA EAST

OF SINGAPORE AND SEA SOUTH OF SUMATERA AND SUNDA

STRAIT AND LAUT JAWA AND SEA SOUTH OF JAWA AND

LAUT MALUKU AND LAUT BANDA=

FCST=

NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA

SE WINDS VEER S 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA

STATE MODERATE LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD=

SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA

E WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S BACK NE

WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

TAIWAN STRAIT

N WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S INCR 12 TO

16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE MODERATE SUNNY

BECMG OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

SEA EAST OF TAIWAN

NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S INCR 12 TO

16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO

ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

BASHI CHANNEL

NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S INCR 16 TO

20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE ROUGH TO VERY

ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

NORTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA

NE WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA

NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S INCR 16 TO

20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO

ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

WEST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA

NE WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=

EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA

NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S BACK N

WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE

ROUGH CLOUDY VIS GOOD=

SOUTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA

N WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO

12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY

VIS GOOD=

NORTHEASTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA

S WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S INCR 12 TO

16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE MODERATE LIGHT

RAIN VIS GOOD=

SOUTHWESTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA

S WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S VEER W WINDS

06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE

LIGHT RAIN BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO

MODERATE=

KOREA STRAIT

S WINDS BACK N 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA

STATE MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN

E WINDS VEER S 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA

STATE ROUGH OVERCAST BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD=

SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS

NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE

ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

SEA WEST OF BONIN ISLANDS

E WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE

ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES

E WINDS 28 TO 32M/S GUSTS 32 TO 36M/S INCR 32 TO

36M/S GUSTS 36 TO 40M/S SEA STATE HIGH TO VERY

HIGH OVERCAST BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO

MODERATE=

SEA WEST OF NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS

SE WINDS 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S DECR 12 TO

16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE VERY ROUGH

MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SEA SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES

SW WINDS 32 TO 36M/S GUSTS 36 TO 40M/S BACK S

WINDS 32 TO 36M/S GUSTS 36 TO 40M/S SEA STATE HIGH

RAINSTORM BECMG CLOUDY VIS POOR TO GOOD=

SEA WEST OF GUAM

SE WINDS 24 TO 28M/S GUSTS 28 TO 32M/S VEER S

WINDS 24 TO 28M/S GUSTS 28 TO 32M/S SEA STATE VERY

ROUGH TO ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SEA SOUTHWEST OF THE PHILIPPINES

W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=

SEA NORTHEAST OF INDONESIA

SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S DECR 08 TO

12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE ROUGH MODERATE

RAIN BECMG CLOUDY VIS MODERATE TO GOOD=

SEA SOUTH OF JAWA

SE WINDS VEER S 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA

STATE MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SEA SOUTH OF SUMATERA

NW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

ANDAMAN SEA

W WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S DECR 04 TO

06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY

BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO MODERATE=

NNNN

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