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到2100年世界将以5种截然不同的方式改变
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华盛顿:认为现在的世界拥挤吗?你还没有看到任何东西。
但这些数字不会长期保持不变。世界银行数据科学家Tariq Khokhar,利用联合国数据粗略统计显示我们的世界将以令人惊讶的方式改变。
1.为2100增加另外40亿人口做好准备。
世界人口正以一个逐渐放缓的速度增长,但仍在大幅增长。目前,世界每年增加约8300万人口,相当于德国人口数量。但是,人口增长每年已从10年前1.24%下降到1.18%。
2.这种增长主要来自非洲大陆。
联合国对非洲的预测令人非常兴奋。到2100非洲人口预计将比现在翻一番以上。非洲人口目前占全球人口的16%。联合国预计,在2050年该国人口将会上升到25%且到2100年会上升到49%。
3.尼日利亚将很快成为世界上第三大人口大国。
尼日利亚的人口不久将比美国人口多。联合国称,该国人口预计差不多到2050超过美国成为世界第三大人口大国。在那时,中国、印度、印度尼西亚、尼日利亚、巴基斯坦和美国都将拥有3亿以上人口。
4.印度将-很快超过中国。
人口统计学专家可能已经知晓这一形式,但印度将很快成为世界上人口最多的国家。中国现有13.8亿人,相比之下,印度有13.1亿人口。到2022年,将看到这两个国家的人口上升到14亿。之后,中国的人口将随着年龄的增长而平稳增长,但印度到2030年将继续增长达到15亿和而2050将会达到 17亿。
5.欧洲正面临着人口老龄化。
现在,约四分之一的欧洲人是60岁或60岁以上。这一比例到2100和2050将上升三分之一多一点。
5 ways the world will look dramatically different in 2100
Our world is set to change in surprising ways
(From gulfnews)
Washington: Think the world is crowded now? You haven’t seen anything yet.
But those numbers won’t stay that way for long. World Bank data by scientist Tariq Khokhar, using the medium estimates of the UN figures, show our world is set to change in surprising ways.
1. Get ready for another four billion people by 2100.
The world population is growing at a gradually slower pace, but it’s still growing substantially. Currently, the world adds about 83 million people per year, equivalent to roughly the population of Germany. But population growth has slowed to 1.18 per cent per year from 1.24 per cent a decade ago.
2. That growth is mostly coming from one continent: Africa.
The UN’s projections for Africa are pretty mind-blowing. Africa is expected to more than double its population by 2100. Africa currently accounts for 16 per cent of the global population. The UN expects that proportion to rise to 25 per cent in 2050 and 49 per cent by 2100.
3. Nigeria will soon become the world’s third most populous country.
Nigeria’s population will be bigger than that of the US before long. The country is expected to surpass America by about 2050 to become the third-largest country in the world, the UN says. At that point, China, India, Indonesia, Nigeria, Pakistan and the US will all have populations of more than 300 million.
4. India will surpass China — soon.
Demography buffs may already know this one, but India is set to become the world’s most populous country very soon. China now has 1.38 billion people, compared with 1.31 billion in India. By 2022, both countries will see their populations rise to 1.4 billion. After that, China’s population will level off as its people age, but India will keep growing to 1.5 billion in 2030 and 1.7 billion in 2050.
5. Europe is getting really old.
Right now, about a quarter of Europeans are 60 or older. That proportion will rise to a little more than a third in 2050 and 2100.
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