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安踏體育:戶外亮眼,精進運營

安踏體育:戶外亮眼,精進運營 天风国际
2025-07-22
4
导读:天風國際堅定深度研究,A股精品投研揚帆海外。


安踏體育

ANTA Sports Products

(2020 HK)


戶外亮眼,精進運營

25Q2 and 25H2 update: outdoor sports products post strong sales; brands improve operations

買入(維持評級)

BUY (maintain)




投資要點/Investment Thesis

投資要點/Investment Thesis

公司公佈25Q2及上半年零售流水

2025Q2:安踏品牌零售流水同比增長低單位數; FILA零售流水同比增長中單位數; 其他品牌零售流水同比增長50-55%。

2025H1:安踏品牌零售流水同比增長中單位數; FILA零售流水同比增長高單位數; 其他品牌零售流水同比增長60-65%。


安踏品牌:DTC驅動「店型革命」,重構空間價值

安踏管道分層的精髓在於「不同人、不同場、不同貨」的精準匹配。 分層店態將籠統的「運動需求」拆解為專業競技、潮流表達、家庭消費等精細化場景,讓每個觸點都成為品牌價值的放大器。 其門店網路已進化為五大差異化店型組成的「場景解決方案矩陣」,包括競技場級(Arena)、殿堂級(Palace)、精英級、標準級、基礎級五個等級,在不同地區和商圈配置不同類型的店面。


FILA:堅守優勢領域,動態響應市場

FILA堅守中高端基本盤,保持高客單價策略不動搖,在高端時尚產品矩陣持續迭代。 800-1200元的主力價格帶產品與競品的600-1000元形成錯位競爭,避免了捲入正面硬剛和低價混戰的局面。 同時,FILA靈活、敏捷調整產品與運營策略,進行創新探索。 在產品層面,優化商品結構,聚焦高毛利、強設計感的潮流運動單品,削減低效SKU,推動產品矩陣更加符合市場需求的快速迭代。

618第一週期,FILA斐樂運動鞋、運動連衣裙品類排名行業第一; 運動Polo衫排名行業第二; 運動T恤同比去年增長近10%排名行業第二。


其他品牌:多品牌協同,戶外賽道前景明朗

迪桑特在華貿中心開出重量級門店,進一步觸達高凈值消費群體。

可隆推出全新先鋒靈感支線,打造兼具極簡模組化與功能性的先鋒實驗性戶外服飾,完美符合消費者想要無縫銜接都市與戶外的穿衣需求。

安踏全資收購德國戶外品牌Jack Wolfskin狼爪,推進安踏體育的全球化進程,尤其是在歐洲市場。


Retail turnover stayed stable in the core brands in the first half of 2025. Main brand ANTA’s directly run business had a differentiated store format that redefines spatial value, while FILA’s higher-end positioning involved nimble product iterations that align with market trends. We maintain our BUY call.


The gist: BUY

· 25Q2 and 25H2 update: core brands maintain steady retail turnover

· ANTA direct sales business’ differentiated store format redefines spatial value

· FILA stays true to its core strengths with dynamic responses to market trends


25Q2 and 25H2 operational update: core brands maintain steady retail turnover

Anta released 25Q2 and 25H2 operational updates on 15 July:

· Q2 retail turnover: Core brand ANTA grew at a low-single-digit yoy in the quarter; FILA rose by a mid-single-digit yoy; and other brands collectively grew 50-55% yoy.

· H1 retail turnover: ANTA rose at a mid-single-digit yoy; FILA grew by a high-single-digit yoy; and other brands collectively expanded 60-65% yoy.


ANTA’s direct-sales differentiated store format redefines spatial value

Anta’s channel differentiation strategy hinges on precisely matching diverse consumers with a variety of use scenarios and products. The segmented store format breaks down the general sports field by specific scenarios into professional sports competitions, fashion expressions and family, where every consumer interface works to amplify brand value. In practice, the store network describes a five-pronged scenario solutions matrix termed Arena, Palace, Elite, Standard and Basic, where each store type is configured for particular regions and commercial districts.


FILA stays true to core strengths with dynamic responses to market trends

Higher-end market: Committed to its core higher-end positioning, FILA is sticking with a high average transaction value strategy as it iterates a premium fashion product matrix. Products from its main RMB800-1,200 ASP range are differentiated clearly from the more competitively priced RMB600-1,000 range to avoid head-to-head internal competition and price wars.


Nimble market-driven product mix: FILA’s flexibility comes into play when it nimbly adjusts product and operational strategies to drive innovations. The company optimizes the product portfolio by focusing on high-margin trendy sportswear that are design-driven, while it reduces low-performing SKUs and quickly iterates products for a portfolio that better aligns with market demand.


618 promos expand sales: At the start of the 618 shopping festival come June, sales of FILA sports shoes and sports dresses aced the industry, while its polo shirts took second spot. Meanwhile, sales of its sports T-shirts increased nearly 10% yoy to take second place in the industry.


Other brands: multi-brand collabs; city-outdoors blended market potential

Descente opened a flagship store at China Central Place in Beijing to target high-net-worth consumers.


Kolon’s new collection, branded as [K:], represents its foray into the experimental outdoor apparel industry segment. The products’ combination of minimalist modularity and functionality aims to fulfill the requirements of consumers who want their clothing to blend seamlessly in both city and outdoors scenarios.


Jack Wolfskin: Anta fully acquired German outdoor brand Jack Wolfskin to advance the company’s globalization strategy, particularly for the European market.


投資建議/Investment Ideas


調整盈利預測,維持買入評級

考慮到消費環境不確定性,我們調整公司25-27年收入分別為786億人民幣、878億人民幣、981億人民幣(原值為786億人民幣、883億人民幣、1011億人民幣); 歸母凈利分別為135億人民幣、156億人民幣、173億人民幣(原值為135億人民幣、157億人民幣、179億人民幣); 對應EPS分別為4.82元/股、5.56元/股、6.16元/股(原值為4.82元/股、5.60元/股、6.39元/股); 對應PE分別為17x、15x、13x。


Valuation and risks

Taking into account current consumer market uncertainties, we tweaked our forecast to revenue of RMB78.6bn/87.8bn/98.1bn for 2025/26/27E (previously RMB78.6bn/88.3bn/ 101.1bn) and net profit of RMB13.5bn/15.6bn/17.3bn (previously RMB13.5bn/15.7bn/ 17.9bn). This implies EPS of RMB4.82/5.56/6.16 (previously RMB4.82/5.60/6.39) at PE of 17x/15x/13x. We maintain our BUY rating.


風險提示:門店調整效果不及預期,多品牌運營不及預期,消費持續疲軟等風險。 


Risks include: outcome of store adjustments fail to meet expectations; multi-brand operations underperform expectations; and persistent weakness in the consumer market.



Email: research@tfisec.com

TFI research report website: 

(pls scan the QR code)




文件由天風國際證券集團有限公司天風國際證券與期貨有限公司(證監會中央編號:BAV573)及天風國際資產管理有限公司(證監會中央編號:ASF056)(合稱“天風國際集團”)編制,所載資料可能以若干假設為基礎,僅供作非商業用途及參考之用途,會因經濟、市場及其他情況而隨時更改而毋須另行通知。任何媒體、網站或個人未經授權不得轉載、連結、轉貼或以其他方式複製發表本檔及任何內容。已獲授權者,在使用本檔或任何內容時必須注明稿件來源於天風國際集團,並承諾遵守相關法例及一切使用的國際慣例,不為任何非法目的或以任何非法方式使用本檔,違者將依法追究相關法律責任。本檔所引用之資料或資料可能得自協力廠商,天風國際集團將盡可能確認資料來源之可靠性,但天風國際集團並不對協力廠商所提供資料或資料之準確性負責。且天風國際集團不會就本檔所載任何資料、預測及/或意見的公平性、準確性、時限性、完整性或正確性,以及任何該等預測及/或意見所依據的基準作出任何明文或暗示的保證、陳述、擔保或承諾而負責或承擔任何法律責任。本檔中如有類似前瞻性陳述之內容,此等內容或陳述不得視為對任何將來表現之保證,且應注意實際情況或發展可能與該等陳述有重大落差。本檔並非及不應被視為邀約、招攬、邀請、建議買賣任何投資產品或投資決策之依據,亦不應被詮釋為專業意見。閱覽本文件的人士或在作出任何投資決策前,應完全瞭解其風險以及有關法律、賦稅及會計的特點及後果,並根據個人的情況決定投資是否切合個人的投資目標,以及能否承擔有關風險,必要時應尋求適當的專業意見。投資涉及風險。敬請投資者注意,證券及投資的價值可升亦可跌,過往的表現不一定可以預示日後的表現。在若干國家,傳閱及分派本檔的方式可能受法律或規例所限制。獲取本檔的人士須知悉及遵守該等限制。


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