海瀾之家
HLA Group
(600398 CH)
業務穩健向上
25Q3E results takeaways: stable revenue and profit trends as HLA paces incremental upgrades and expansion
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買入(維持評級) BUY (maintain)
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投資要點/Investment Thesis
投資要點/Investment Thesis
公司發佈2025三季報
公司25Q3營收40億,同增4%,歸母凈利3億,同增4%,扣非后歸母凈利2.5億,同增4%。
公司25Q1-3營收156億,同增2%,歸母凈利19億,同減2%,扣非后歸母凈利18億,同增4%。
門店運營提效,拓展海外市場
國內市場方面,公司繼續以“精佈局、高品質、強體驗”為指引,存量門店以運營質效為核心指標,推進動態調整優化,購物中心等直營門店重點覆蓋核心商圈和重點增長區域,進一步增強品牌市場競爭力。 截至6月底,公司期末門店總數達7,209家,其中直營門店2,099家,占公司門店總數的比例為29.12%。
海外市場方面,公司積極推動品牌“出海”,在深耕東南亞的同時,積極調研新市場、探索新渠道,擴大海外市場版圖。 針對海外市場,公司制定因地制宜的產品設計策略,優化出海產品群組,為海外消費者提供更好的購物體驗; 拓展符合品牌定位的核心商圈,採用簡約輕快且更具國際質感的門店設計風格,通過與不同領域的達人進行合作,提升品牌在海外市場的影響力和國際競爭力。 截至6月底,海外市場門店數為111家,海外地區實現主營業務收入2.06億元,較上年同期增長27.42%。
科技創新驅動產業升級
公司持續加碼研發投入,在數位化運營、面料服飾創新開發等方面不斷積聚產業競爭優勢。 公司持續深化數智化轉型,依託產品研發管理、零售運營管理和供應鏈管理三大數據管理平台,實現從產品研發到終端零售的全數位化管理,不斷提升公司供應鏈運營效率。
依託海瀾雲服實驗室,持續推進服飾材料創新研發、面料檢測服務、服飾文化研究、智慧製造軟體開發,推動公司向“科技、時尚、綠色”轉型提升。 公司加強與行業科研機構和高等學府合作,共建研發中心和科研平台,致力於從新型面料研發、服飾文化建設兩個板塊推動中國服裝產業創新發展和產業升級。
HLA is adding traction in Southeast Asia, while it explores more markets to broaden its global footprint. Not stinting on investments into technological R&D is part of a key strategy to produce innovations that drive product and operational upgrades. We maintain our BUY call on the stock.
The gist: BUY
25Q3E and 25M9: stable revenue and profit trends
Strategic store operation efficiency upgrades and foreign market expansion
Technological innovations continue to drive operational upgrades
25Q3E and 25M9: stable revenue and profit trends
HLA published unaudited 25Q3E financial results on 30 Oct:
Q3E: Revenue arrived at RMB4.0bn in the third quarter, up 4% yoy; with net profit up 4% yoy to RMB282m and ex-nonrecurring net profit up 4% yoy to RMB250m.
25Q1–3E: Revenue amounted to RMB15.6bn over the first 9 months, up 2% yoy; with net profit down 2% yoy to RMB1.9bn and ex-nonrecurring net profit up 4% yoy to RMB1.8bn.
Strategic store operation efficiency upgrades and foreign market expansion
Chinese market:
Strategy: The core principles that drive HLA’s domestic market operations are a strategic buildout, high quality, and a rich customer experience. Operational efficiency standards at current stores provide key metrics for the company to make dynamic optimizations.
Directly-run stores: HLA directly operates nearly 30% of its stores and these are concentrated in prime growth locations like malls and business districts to maximize the brand’s competitiveness. As of end-June, it has 2,099 directly-run stores out of a total of 7,209 in the Chinese market.
International market:
Global drive: HLA is pushing to expand its brand presence globally. While adding traction in Southeast Asia, the company continues to explore new markets and new channels to broaden its international footprint.
Product strategy: Through localized product design strategies that retune its product portfolios, HLA gives foreign consumers a better shopping experience.
Store strategy: Market expansion plans focus on key business districts that align with HLA’s brand positioning, with the stores designed to express a minimalist, light and sophisticated aesthetic. Its brand profile expands through collaborations with influencers from various fields, which also increase its competitiveness in international markets.
Store footprint: HLA’s network of 111 stores in its foreign markets collectively generated core revenue of RMB206m in 25H1, a 27.42% increase yoy.
Technological innovations continue to drive operational upgrades
Full digitalized control: By continually increasing investments into R&D, HLA has raised its competitive advantage in digitalized operations, and the development of innovative fabrics and apparel. Its digital restructure continues to unfold, covering three major data management systems: product R&D management, retail operations management, and supply chain management. This shapes its full digitalized control—from product development to retail sales—enhancing supply chain operational efficiency.
HLA Yunfu Lab: The lab carries out innovative R&D on apparel materials, fabric testing services, apparel culture research, and smart manufacturing software development. It has enabled the company’s restructure and upgrade to a technology, fashion, and green business. HLA has firmed ties with industry research institutions and universities, jointly building R&D centers and research platforms with them. It is committed to driving innovation development and the upgrading of China’s apparel industry in two key directions: new fabric R&D and the shaping of its apparel culture.
投資建議/Investment Ideas
調整盈利預測,維持“買入”評級
考慮消費疲軟、渠道調整,我們小幅調整盈利預測,預計25-27年歸母凈利為24億元、26億元、28億元(原值為25億元、27億元、30億元); 對應PE為13/12/11x。
Valuation and risks
Considering weak consumer market spending and the company’s channel adjustments, we tweaked downward our net profit forecast to RMB2.4bn/2.6bn/2.8bn for 2025/26/27E (previously RMB2.5bn/2.7bn/3bn), implying 13/12/11x PE. We maintain our BUY rating.
風險提示:消費疲軟的風險,新業務推進不及預期,庫存積壓等風險。
Risks include: weaker consumer spending; new business development is slower than expected; and inventory backlog risks.
Email: research@tfisec.com
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