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海瀾之家:業務穩健向上

海瀾之家:業務穩健向上 天风国际
2025-11-25
45
导读:天風國際堅定深度研究,A股精品投研揚帆海外。

海瀾之家

HLA Group

(600398 CH)


業務穩健向上

25Q3E results takeaways: stable revenue and profit trends as HLA paces incremental upgrades and expansion

買入(維持評級)

BUY (maintain)

投資要點/Investment Thesis

投資要點/Investment Thesis

公司發佈2025三季報

公司25Q3營收40億,同增4%,歸母凈利3億,同增4%,扣非后歸母凈利2.5億,同增4%。


公司25Q1-3營收156億,同增2%,歸母凈利19億,同減2%,扣非后歸母凈利18億,同增4%。


門店運營提效,拓展海外市場

國內市場方面,公司繼續以“精佈局、高品質、強體驗”為指引,存量門店以運營質效為核心指標,推進動態調整優化,購物中心等直營門店重點覆蓋核心商圈和重點增長區域,進一步增強品牌市場競爭力。 截至6月底,公司期末門店總數達7,209家,其中直營門店2,099家,占公司門店總數的比例為29.12%。


海外市場方面,公司積極推動品牌“出海”,在深耕東南亞的同時,積極調研新市場、探索新渠道,擴大海外市場版圖。 針對海外市場,公司制定因地制宜的產品設計策略,優化出海產品群組,為海外消費者提供更好的購物體驗; 拓展符合品牌定位的核心商圈,採用簡約輕快且更具國際質感的門店設計風格,通過與不同領域的達人進行合作,提升品牌在海外市場的影響力和國際競爭力。 截至6月底,海外市場門店數為111家,海外地區實現主營業務收入2.06億元,較上年同期增長27.42%。


科技創新驅動產業升級

公司持續加碼研發投入,在數位化運營、面料服飾創新開發等方面不斷積聚產業競爭優勢。 公司持續深化數智化轉型,依託產品研發管理、零售運營管理和供應鏈管理三大數據管理平台,實現從產品研發到終端零售的全數位化管理,不斷提升公司供應鏈運營效率。


依託海瀾雲服實驗室,持續推進服飾材料創新研發、面料檢測服務、服飾文化研究、智慧製造軟體開發,推動公司向“科技、時尚、綠色”轉型提升。 公司加強與行業科研機構和高等學府合作,共建研發中心和科研平台,致力於從新型面料研發、服飾文化建設兩個板塊推動中國服裝產業創新發展和產業升級。


HLA is adding traction in Southeast Asia, while it explores more markets to broaden its global footprint. Not stinting on investments into technological R&D is part of a key strategy to produce innovations that drive product and operational upgrades. We maintain our BUY call on the stock.


The gist: BUY

  • 25Q3E and 25M9: stable revenue and profit trends

  • Strategic store operation efficiency upgrades and foreign market expansion

  • Technological innovations continue to drive operational upgrades


25Q3E and 25M9: stable revenue and profit trends

HLA published unaudited 25Q3E financial results on 30 Oct:

  • Q3E: Revenue arrived at RMB4.0bn in the third quarter, up 4% yoy; with net profit up 4% yoy to RMB282m and ex-nonrecurring net profit up 4% yoy to RMB250m.

  • 25Q1–3E: Revenue amounted to RMB15.6bn over the first 9 months, up 2% yoy; with net profit down 2% yoy to RMB1.9bn and ex-nonrecurring net profit up 4% yoy to RMB1.8bn.


Strategic store operation efficiency upgrades and foreign market expansion

Chinese market:

  • Strategy: The core principles that drive HLA’s domestic market operations are a strategic buildout, high quality, and a rich customer experience. Operational efficiency standards at current stores provide key metrics for the company to make dynamic optimizations.

  • Directly-run stores: HLA directly operates nearly 30% of its stores and these are concentrated in prime growth locations like malls and business districts to maximize the brand’s competitiveness. As of end-June, it has 2,099 directly-run stores out of a total of 7,209 in the Chinese market.


International market:

  • Global drive: HLA is pushing to expand its brand presence globally. While adding traction in Southeast Asia, the company continues to explore new markets and new channels to broaden its international footprint.

  • Product strategy: Through localized product design strategies that retune its product portfolios, HLA gives foreign consumers a better shopping experience.

  • Store strategy: Market expansion plans focus on key business districts that align with HLA’s brand positioning, with the stores designed to express a minimalist, light and sophisticated aesthetic. Its brand profile expands through collaborations with influencers from various fields, which also increase its competitiveness in international markets.

  • Store footprint: HLA’s network of 111 stores in its foreign markets collectively generated core revenue of RMB206m in 25H1, a 27.42% increase yoy.


Technological innovations continue to drive operational upgrades

Full digitalized control: By continually increasing investments into R&D, HLA has raised its competitive advantage in digitalized operations, and the development of innovative fabrics and apparel. Its digital restructure continues to unfold, covering three major data management systems: product R&D management, retail operations management, and supply chain management. This shapes its full digitalized control—from product development to retail sales—enhancing supply chain operational efficiency.


HLA Yunfu Lab: The lab carries out innovative R&D on apparel materials, fabric testing services, apparel culture research, and smart manufacturing software development. It has enabled the company’s restructure and upgrade to a technology, fashion, and green business. HLA has firmed ties with industry research institutions and universities, jointly building R&D centers and research platforms with them. It is committed to driving innovation development and the upgrading of China’s apparel industry in two key directions: new fabric R&D and the shaping of its apparel culture.


投資建議/Investment Ideas


調整盈利預測,維持“買入”評級

考慮消費疲軟、渠道調整,我們小幅調整盈利預測,預計25-27年歸母凈利為24億元、26億元、28億元(原值為25億元、27億元、30億元); 對應PE為13/12/11x。


Valuation and risks

Considering weak consumer market spending and the company’s channel adjustments, we tweaked downward our net profit forecast to RMB2.4bn/2.6bn/2.8bn for 2025/26/27E (previously RMB2.5bn/2.7bn/3bn), implying 13/12/11x PE. We maintain our BUY rating.


風險提示:消費疲軟的風險,新業務推進不及預期,庫存積壓等風險。


Risks include: weaker consumer spending; new business development is slower than expected; and inventory backlog risks.



Email: research@tfisec.com

TFI research report website: 

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文件由天風國際證券集團有限公司天風國際證券與期貨有限公司(證監會中央編號:BAV573)及天風國際資產管理有限公司(證監會中央編號:ASF056)(合稱“天風國際集團”)編制,所載資料可能以若干假設為基礎,僅供作非商業用途及參考之用途,會因經濟、市場及其他情況而隨時更改而毋須另行通知。任何媒體、網站或個人未經授權不得轉載、連結、轉貼或以其他方式複製發表本檔及任何內容。已獲授權者,在使用本檔或任何內容時必須注明稿件來源於天風國際集團,並承諾遵守相關法例及一切使用的國際慣例,不為任何非法目的或以任何非法方式使用本檔,違者將依法追究相關法律責任。本檔所引用之資料或資料可能得自協力廠商,天風國際集團將盡可能確認資料來源之可靠性,但天風國際集團並不對協力廠商所提供資料或資料之準確性負責。且天風國際集團不會就本檔所載任何資料、預測及/或意見的公平性、準確性、時限性、完整性或正確性,以及任何該等預測及/或意見所依據的基準作出任何明文或暗示的保證、陳述、擔保或承諾而負責或承擔任何法律責任。本檔中如有類似前瞻性陳述之內容,此等內容或陳述不得視為對任何將來表現之保證,且應注意實際情況或發展可能與該等陳述有重大落差。本檔並非及不應被視為邀約、招攬、邀請、建議買賣任何投資產品或投資決策之依據,亦不應被詮釋為專業意見。閱覽本文件的人士或在作出任何投資決策前,應完全瞭解其風險以及有關法律、賦稅及會計的特點及後果,並根據個人的情況決定投資是否切合個人的投資目標,以及能否承擔有關風險,必要時應尋求適當的專業意見。投資涉及風險。敬請投資者注意,證券及投資的價值可升亦可跌,過往的表現不一定可以預示日後的表現。在若干國家,傳閱及分派本檔的方式可能受法律或規例所限制。獲取本檔的人士須知悉及遵守該等限制。



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