经济改善、恢复的商业信心以及商业友好的政策变化显示积极的投资动力
设备租赁及融资协会（ELFA），代表着1万亿美金的设备融资业，公布了2017十大设备采购趋势。考虑到今年美国企业、非营利组织及政府部门将会花费超过1.5万亿美金来购买生产资料或进行固定商业投资（包括软件），为这些资产中的大部分融资，这些趋势对美国经济有很大影响。随着不断变化的经济及监管环境助力改善的商业环境，企业会找到设备投资的积极动力。
ELFA会长兼CEO Ralph Petta说道“设备采购持续驱动整个美国制造业和服务业的供给链。设备租赁及融资为大部分美国企业提供资金来源，来获取他们经营发展所需要的生产性资产。我们很高兴每年提供十大设备采购趋势，来帮助企业了解市场并制定他们的采购策略。”
ELFA参考近期的调差数据，包括设备租赁及融资基金会2017设备租赁及融资美国经济展望，行业参与者的专业观点以及ELFA会议会面中成员的看法，汇编出这些趋势。
ELFA预测以下2017十大设备采购趋势：
1. 在去年的设备和软件投资负增长后，在2017年探寻资本支出。在2016整体的负增长之后，设备和软件投资将在2017年有所改善。稳定的就业率、收入增长和更高的商业信心将驱动企业所有者资本投资的新一轮热情。
2. 预计融资设备采购的增长会超过总设备投资的增长。由于融资倾向的增加，今年设备和软件投资的增长将会落后于设备融资的增长。现金支出率下降，更大比例的公司融资-几乎10个企业中的8个-及租赁融资率的增加，还有市场数据表明设备租赁及融资行业正从缓慢增长时期中走出来，纷纷指向2017更高的投资。
3. 更多业务——商业友好的联邦政策将会支持商业投资和经济增长。新特朗普政府和国会承诺的行动，像基础设施支出、税收减免及减少监管负担和其他限制，将会进一步引导企业进行资本投资。这些财政和监管政策将会利于美国经济适度强劲的增长，也助于2017设备和软件投资略微更高的增长。然而，对这一增长景象的小幅影响是作为国会改革税法的一部分，可能削减或消除利息的可抵扣性。
4. 贸易政策的改变将导致设备出口逆风的风险。企业也会关注特朗普政府对不太友好的贸易环境的发展。退出跨太平洋伙伴协定（TPP）、重新谈判或撤出北美自由贸易协定（NAFTA）、及对中国采取严厉姿态的一系列可能性，都可能激起贸易伙伴的报复，阻碍出口和更大的经济增长。
5. 石油工业对美国经济的拖累将会停止。导致油田和矿业投资下降的石油价格下跌基本稳定。随着行业支出在两年后显示正增长及更友好的监管环境前景，预计石油业生产和投资将会增加。
6. 许多关键设备行业将会受益于积极的动力。今年市场和经济环境的改变将对许多之前表现不佳的设备行业是一个好消息。稳定油价将不仅对油田和矿业投资产生积极影响而且对铁路、物料搬运和工业设备有积极的影响。由于个人消费的提升和承诺的基础设施支出将寻找增加的建筑设施投资。
7. 企业将需要随时了解利率增加的最新情况。自大萧条之后一个不成问题的问题，期望在2016年12月加息后的今年再次利率增加。由于美联储采取措施控制通货膨胀，企业将需要相应的评估计划融资方式。
8. 设备融资业的创新将会增加客户的灵活度和便捷性。寻求增值利益以便于访问和流程提升的最终用户将会在今年融资设备时如愿以偿。获取“金融科技”作为融资的替代方式，管理解决方案交易以实现把成本和业务需求相匹配的好处并避免所有权的义务，高效无纸化交易的电子化仅仅是几个今年设备融资业正兴起的潮流。
9. 租赁会计准则的变化不会阻碍融资设备的采购。2016融资会计准则委员会（FASB）批准的变更，把租赁纳入资产负债表并不像许多人预测的那么繁重，并且在新准则下选择租赁的主要原因仍然保持完整。今年将看到各组织机构为2019年开始生效的新准则认真准备。
10. 在考虑设备采购决策时，企业会留意潜在的“万能牌”。尽管今年设备支出有很多有利的因素，美国企业将会密切关注多方面的发展。地缘政治转变的影响，例如英国脱欧行动和法国国民阵线的突出及其他反对现存自由、自由市场国际秩序的团体都可能在财政、政治、甚至军事上造成破坏性影响。此外，新政府承诺的基础设施支出将取决于有预算意识的共和党人的政治支持的规模、设计和水平来通过。最后，恐怖主义的未知长期的经济影响依旧若隐若现。
以下是原文：
ELFA Announces Top 10 Equipment Acquisition Trends for 2017
Economic Improvement, Renewed Business Confidence and Business-Friendly Policy Changes Support Positive Investment Momentum
The Equipment Leasing and Finance Association (ELFA), which represents the $1 trillion equipment finance sector, today revealed its Top 10 Equipment Acquisition Trends for 2017. Given U.S. businesses, nonprofits and government agencies will spend over $1.5 trillion in capital goods or fixed business investment (including software) this year, financing a majority of those assets, these trends impact a significant portion of the U.S. economy. Businesses will find positive momentum for equipment investment as the changing economic and regulatory environment contributes to improved business conditions.
ELFA President and CEO Ralph Petta said, “Equipment acquisition continues to drive the supply chains across all U.S. manufacturing and service sectors. Equipment leasing and financing provide the source of funding for a majority of U.S. businesses to acquire the productive assets they need to operate and grow. We are pleased to provide the Top 10 Equipment Acquisition Trends each year in order to assist businesses in understanding the marketplace and planning their acquisition strategies.”
ELFA distilled recent research data, including the Equipment Leasing & Finance Foundation’s 2017 Equipment Leasing & Finance U.S. Economic Outlook, industry participants’ expertise, and member input from ELFA meetings and conferences in compiling the trends.
ELFA forecasts the following Top 10 Equipment Acquisition Trends for 2017:
1. Look for capital spending to pick up in 2017 after the previous year’s negative equipment and software investment growth. After overall negative growth in 2016, equipment and software investment is on track to improve in 2017. Renewed enthusiasm by business owners to make capital investments will be driven by solid employment rates, rising incomes and higher business confidence.
2. Expect growth of financed equipment acquisitions to outpace growth in total equipment investment. Growth in equipment and software investment this year will be exceeded by growth in equipment financing as the propensity to finance has increased. A reduced rate of cash outlays, a greater percentage of firms financing—nearly 8 in 10 businesses—and an increase in the rate of lease financing, along with market data indicating that the equipment leasing and finance industry is emerging from a period of slow growth, all point to higher investment in 2017.
3. More business-friendly federal policy will bolster business investment and economic growth. Businesses will be further induced to make capital investments with promised action from the new Trump Administration and Congress for infrastructure spending, tax relief and reduced regulatory burdens and other constraints. These fiscal and regulatory policies will contribute to moderately strong growth for the U.S. economy, and somewhat higher growth for equipment and software investment in 2017. However, a tempering influence to this growth scenario is the potential curtailing or elimination of interest deductibility as part of congressional efforts to reform the tax code.
4. Changes in trade policy will risk headwinds for equipment exports. Businesses will also be following developments from the Trump Administration for a less-friendly trade environment. The potential for exiting the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), renegotiating or withdrawing from the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), and striking a sterner stance with China could spur retaliation from trading partners that will hinder exports and greater economic growth.
5. The oil industry drag on the U.S. economy will cease. The oil price freefall that sent oilfield and mining investment plunging has steadied. With sector spending showing positive growth after two years and the prospect of a friendlier regulatory environment, expect increased oil industry production and investment.
6. Many key equipment verticals will benefit from positive momentum. Changes in market and economic conditions will be good news for a number of previously underperforming equipment verticals this year. Stabilizing oil prices will positively impact not only oilfield and mining investment, but also railroad, materials handling and industrial equipment. Look for increased construction equipment investment due to improving personal consumption and promised infrastructure spending.
7. Businesses will need to keep abreast of interest rate increases. A non-issue since the Great Recession, expect additional rate increases this year after the December 2016 hike. Businesses will need to assess and plan for financing options accordingly as the Fed acts to keep inflation in check.
8. Innovations in the equipment finance industry will increase flexibility and convenience for customers. End-users seeking value-added benefits for ease of access and process improvements will find them when financing equipment this year. The availability of “fintech” as an alternative method of financing, managed solution transactions to realize the benefits of aligning costs with business demands and avoid obligations of ownership, and e-chattel for efficient paperless transactions are just a few of the growing trends to watch in equipment finance this year.
9. Lease accounting changes won’t deter financed equipment acquisitions. Changes approved by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) in 2016 to bring leases on-balance sheet weren’t as burdensome as many had anticipated, and the primary reasons to lease remain intact under the new rules. This year will see organizations preparing in earnest for the new standard to take effect beginning in 2019.
10. Businesses will watch for potential “wild cards” when considering equipment acquisition decisions. Despite many favorable factors for equipment spending this year, U.S. businesses will be keeping an eye on developments on numerous fronts. The impacts of geopolitical shifts such as the U.K.’s Brexit move and the prominence of the National Front in France and other groups that are contrary to the existing liberal, free-market international order could be disruptive financially, politically and even militarily. Also, the new Administration’s promised infrastructure spending will depend on the size, design and level of political support of budget-conscious Republicans to pass. Finally, the unknown and long-term economic implications of terrorism continue to loom.
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