Inflation hit a 32-year high here!- 大数跨境

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Inflation hit a 32-year high here!

HACOS瀚客企服

2023-01-16

导读：阿根廷通胀水平触及32年来新高！

在刚刚过去的2022年，阿根廷比索兑美元大幅贬值近60%。外债规模高达2748亿美元，占GDP的比重高达56%。而外汇储备仅仅只有325亿美元，还较去年末下降了30亿美元。

In 2022, the Argentine peso depreciated by nearly 60% against the US dollar. Its foreign debt reached 274.8 billion USD, accounting for 56% of its GDP. However, its foreign exchange reserve is only US $32.5 billion, down $3 billion from the end of last year.

此外，阿根廷通胀高达92.4%，为30年来的最高涨幅。

Besides, Argentina's inflation reached 92.4%, the highest increase in 30 years.

当地时间1月12日，阿根廷国家统计局公布数据显示，阿根廷2022年12月月度通胀率为5.1％，略低于市场分析师预计的5.2％，延续自2022年7月7.4％的峰值以来整体下降趋势，不过高于11月的4.9％。

On January 12, local time, Argentina's National Bureau of Statistics released data showing that Argentina's monthly inflation rate in December 2022 was 5.1%, slightly lower than the 5.2% expected by market analysts, continuing the overall downward trend since the peak of 7.4% in July 2022, but higher than 4.9% in November.

在过去的十多年中，阿根廷每年的通胀率都达两位数。2022年12月的年化通胀率更是高达94.8％，为1991年以来最高水平。

Over the past decade, Argentina's annual inflation rate has always remained tens of percent. The annualized inflation rate in December 2022 even reached 94.8%, the highest level since 1991.

为了减缓通胀，阿根廷政府2022年11月宣布与超市和大众消费品供应商达成协议，在2023年3月前冻结或严格监管约1500种产品的价格。

In order to slow inflation, the Argentine government announced an agreement with supermarkets and mass consumer goods suppliers in November 2022 to freeze or strictly regulate the prices of about 1500 products by March 2023.

出于抑制通胀、稳定汇率等考虑，阿根廷央行2022年年初启动加息周期，自1月6日至9月15日，将基准利率从38％大幅上调至75％，此后利率水平一直维持在75%。

In order to curb inflation and stabilize the exchange rate, the Argentine Central Bank started the interest rate increase cycle at the beginning of 2022. From January 6 to September 15, the benchmark interest rate was significantly raised from 38% to 75%, and the interest rate level has remained at 75% since then.

考虑到全球经济增长前景较为暗淡、阿根廷主要出口大宗商品价格看跌、美联储加息预期依然存在等因素，阿根廷国际收支状况难以大幅度改善，其财政政策、货币政策、外贸政策的工具和空间相对有限，财政收支、通胀、外债压力仍然较大，“2023年通胀率预计维持在两位数高位，或有可能超100％。”

Given that the prospects for global economic growth are still bleak, the prices of Argentina's main export commodities are bearish, and the expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate increase remain, Argentina's balance of payments situation is difficult to improve significantly, tools and space of its fiscal policy, monetary policy and foreign trade policy are relatively limited, and the pressure on fiscal balance of payments, inflation, and foreign debt is still large. "Its inflation rate is expected to remain at a double-digit high in 2023 or may exceed 100%."

阿根廷央行2023年1月6日预计，阿根廷2023年通胀率将达98.4％。

On January 6, 2023, the Argentine Central Bank predicted that Argentina's inflation rate would reach 98.4% in 2023.

2022年12月，IMF对阿根廷再融资计划进行第三次评估时指出，阿根廷通胀率仍然很高，而且没有得到稳定，外汇储备很低，信心需要进一步加强。不过，该机构也表示，自2022年7月以来，阿根廷收紧的宏观经济政策开始产生效果，通胀正在放缓，贸易平衡正在改善，外汇储备覆盖率逐渐加强。

In December 2022, the IMF pointed out in the third evaluation of Argentina's refinancing plan that Argentina's inflation rate is still high and has not been stabilized, its foreign exchange reserves are very low, and confidence on its recovery needs to be further strengthened. However, IMF also said that since July 2022, Argentina's tightening macroeconomic policy has begun to produce results, seeing that inflation is slowing, the trade balance is improving, and the coverage of foreign exchange reserves is gradually strengthening.

Source: 外贸链

瀚客货代专注国际货运代理一站式服务，为外贸公司/外贸工厂提供一站式进出口物流服务。

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